As promised, it is that time folks . . .
SSHM's General Election Night Picks
(borrowing the format from stankieyankee)
President---McCain (54-46)
US Senate--Graham (62-38)
US Congress--Barrett (66-34)
SC Senate 3--Meadors (51-49)
SC Senate 4--O'Dell (56-44)
SC House 8--Dobbins (62-38)
SC House 10--Gambrell (65-35)
Sheriff--John Skipper (80-20)
County Council 2--Floyd (80-20)
CPST--passes (52-48)
As you can see, the numbers are not off by that much for many of the races. The exceptions, of course, in BOLD. So why did I wait to post these numbers so late in the day today? Simple really:
1.) It's late in the day. Most folks have voted. The die has been cast and the course has been set. No changing things now.
2.) Sharing this information early is akin to showing your hand to your opponent too early.
With that in mind, shall we explain some of the numbers?
Meadors' victory will come from an extremely strong and traditionally very democratic Pendleton base. Couple that with democratic resentment over the loss of McAbee and Crenshaw, and you have an very angry electorate that is highly motivated to vote STRONG (D). Combine that with a solid base in and around the City of Anderson, Meadors now has two of the three legs secured. The third leg - Powdersville - is traditionally an ultra-conservative area. An area thought to be STRONGLY in Bryant's back pocket. To quote Lee Corso, NOT SO FAST, MY FRIEND - Meadors has made strong inroads into Powdersville and will likely have a strong showing.
With the City and Pendleton secured, Meadors only needs a strong showing and not a win in Powdersville (even though a win is likely).
The no-no, Yankee, is having a SITTING STATE SENATOR get involved in LOCAL County Council races. It will cost him in a close one.
Dobbins' victory is ... well ... a major blow-out and a major loss to the SC Club for Growth/Howard Rich crowd. Dr. Dobbins is a good individual who has run a clean campaign - a campaign that resonates well with the electorate. Speaking of political advisors willieh, don't you find it ironic that you and others were CRITICAL of McAbee when he ran with campaign material pointing out Allen as a individual who votes for tax increases (by way of the school board) . . . ironic that you use the same tactic to attempt to smear Dr. Dobbins (in ads sponsored by the ACRP)?
It didn't work then ... it's not going to work now. What is that old saying ... oh yes ... imitation is the highest form of flattery.
Then we have O'Dell . . . who is glad that the ACRP nut-jobs didn't run someone against him in the primary. Thanks to that inaction by the ACRP, O'Dell will win, but will win a much closer race than many expect. The strong (D) turn out, combined with voters from Abbeville and Greenwood will aid Ortiz in getting those larger numbers. Senate District 4, as a reminder, covers three counties.
Finally we reach the CPST. In a squeaker, this will pass. Why? Too much public input and too little public outcry against it. The CAVE and Team Mobile Billboard (Dan "I look like John Kerry" Harvel, et al) have put up quite a bit of noise. However, that noise is set against the backdrop of PUBLIC INPUT and PARTICIPATION that helped shape this sales tax. The down economy is the only factor in making this one a close one. If the market had not soured, you would see a 2:1 margin in favor of CPST.
So, for those keeping score at home:
1.) Bryant goes back to being a full-time pill-pusher.
2.) Meadors makes rounds at both AnMed and the Senate Cloak Room.
3.) O'Dell does not have to pack up his office in Columbia - yet.
4.) Ortiz will continue to dispense advice and be a good steward of the community.
5.) Dobbins will still get his Ice Cream from Hendrix and, if you're nice, share with his fellow House colleagues.
6.) Bowen will return home and wonder why salsa can't come from New York City (like Howard Rich).
7.) Team Mobile Billboard will have to come up with yet another ANTI-ANDERSON slogan.
8.) CPST will, as promised, fix our roads and share the burden with everyone (especially those that don't own property).
9.) Anti-incumbency also still applies at the GENERAL ELECTION.
10.) Mister Rodgers Neighborhood might have to hold a super-secret censure meeting after the results from this evening come in. In fact, Mister Rodgers may have to worry about eviction for failing to deliver - hehe.
So we shall see who is right . . . [image]
- SSHM
-sshm
looks like you were WRONG, Stupid! Mr. Rogers is fine. Censure? You betcha! Guess who gets the ax this time. I'll let you guess. I'll let you know if you are right or not. You will probably be wrong (like on all of the bold races).
This race yesterday, proved that June 10th and 24th was just the beginning of conservative governing here in Anderson County. You will see this start to resonate across the state and across the country. We will be slow and take the conservative cause to the country. We will find our way again!
Stupid, you think you are smart and in the know. You are neither. You proved it in June and now again in November. Please don't tell me you believe in Santa Claus and the Easter Bunny.
