I hereby predict at least 2 more years of Joey Preston. Here is my reasoning:
Council District 1
The voters are very upset with Bob Waldrep. Waldrep was supposed to be the sensible leader who could get things done. Instead he's focused on fighting with the administrator. Joey has a way of blocking any of your efforts when you fight him. Thus, Bob has been completely ineffective. I have no doubt that he can be easily beat. Northern Anderson folks aren't hicks from the sticks like District 7. They want results, not bickering.
Bob Waldrep has a small chance to be returned to office. His chief competitor so far is Raymond MacKay. I don't know who Roger Pedrick is, but he could have a go at it also. Brooks Brown might as well just drop out and let the big boys handle it. The only reason he's running is to get rid of Bob anyway.
Prognosis: + 1 Solid chance of a pickup for Joey.
Council District 2
Gracie will win in a landslide, as usual. I don't know why Bill Holder is bothering.
Prognosis: + 1 Secure for Joey.
Council District 3
Larry Greer is a shrewd politician. But, I think Larry's time has come. He's survived razor thin margins before, but time keeps wearing on and Larry's not getting any younger. Eddie Moore, first Democrat, then independent, now Republican has an even shot to beat him.
Prognosis: +/- 1 I'm calling this too close to call.
Council District 4
McAbee has weathered a lot of criticism from the Cindy Wilson crowd, but he hasn't really done anything to tick off his voters. He can win on accomplishments vs bickering, but it could be close in the Republican primary.
If he can make it past Tom Allen in the primary, he faces William Bridges and possibly Michael Carmany of the Libertarian party. That should be pretty easy considering they won't have any money.
Prognosis: +/- 1 Too early to call, but McAbee has a slight advantage because Allen only has 2 months.
Council District 5
Michael Thompson is by far the most vunerable on the council besides Waldrep. He would be toast if a good candidate challenged him. Lucky for him, he has 3 nobodies running against him. Skip Gilmer is throwing his hat in the ring again despite a terrible attempt 2 years ago. "Brother" Bailey is some scummy car dealer, and I have no clue who Tommy Dunn is. Unless one of these guys runs a solid campaign and gets their name out there, Michael is returned without a runoff simply because 3 challengers will split the vote against him.
Prognosis: +1 Good chance for Joey to hold on.
Council District 6
Rick Freemental doesn't have a chance against Ron Wilson. Who will win by a bigger margin--Gracie or Ron?
Prognosis: + 1 Secure for Joey.
Council District 7
Cindy wilson is politically untouchable. Joey has made that woman into a demi-god in her district.
Prognosis: - 1 Secure for Cindy.
Total Wrapup:
Solid Joey Seats: 3
Lean Joey Seats: 1
Even seats: 2
Lean Cindy Seats: 0
Solid Cindy Seats: 1
Joey only needs to win ONE race out of districts 3, 4, and 5 for a council majority. So far 3 and 4 have gone his way, 5 went Cindy's way but Thompson turned into Joey's "waterboy.
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2 more years of Joey
I hereby predict at least 2 more years of Joey Preston. Here is my reasoning:
Council District 1
The voters are very upset with Bob Waldrep. Waldrep was supposed to be the sensible leader who could get things done. Instead he's focused on fighting with the administrator. Joey has a way of blocking any of your efforts when you fight him. Thus, Bob has been completely ineffective. I have no doubt that he can be easily beat. Northern Anderson folks aren't hicks from the sticks like District 7. They want results, not bickering.
Bob Waldrep has a small chance to be returned to office. His chief competitor so far is Raymond MacKay. I don't know who Roger Pedrick is, but he could have a go at it also. Brooks Brown might as well just drop out and let the big boys handle it. The only reason he's running is to get rid of Bob anyway.
Prognosis: + 1 Solid chance of a pickup for Joey.
Council District 2
Gracie will win in a landslide, as usual. I don't know why Bill Holder is bothering.
Prognosis: + 1 Secure for Joey.
Council District 3
Larry Greer is a shrewd politician. But, I think Larry's time has come. He's survived razor thin margins before, but time keeps wearing on and Larry's not getting any younger. Eddie Moore, first Democrat, then independent, now Republican has an even shot to beat him.
Prognosis: +/- 1 I'm calling this too close to call.
Council District 4
McAbee has weathered a lot of criticism from the Cindy Wilson crowd, but he hasn't really done anything to tick off his voters. He can win on accomplishments vs bickering, but it could be close in the Republican primary.
If he can make it past Tom Allen in the primary, he faces William Bridges and possibly Michael Carmany of the Libertarian party. That should be pretty easy considering they won't have any money.
Prognosis: +/- 1 Too early to call, but McAbee has a slight advantage because Allen only has 2 months.
Council District 5
Michael Thompson is by far the most vunerable on the council besides Waldrep. He would be toast if a good candidate challenged him. Lucky for him, he has 3 nobodies running against him. Skip Gilmer is throwing his hat in the ring again despite a terrible attempt 2 years ago. "Brother" Bailey is some scummy car dealer, and I have no clue who Tommy Dunn is. Unless one of these guys runs a solid campaign and gets their name out there, Michael is returned without a runoff simply because 3 challengers will split the vote against him.
Prognosis: +1 Good chance for Joey to hold on.
Council District 6
Rick Freemental doesn't have a chance against Ron Wilson. Who will win by a bigger margin--Gracie or Ron?
Prognosis: + 1 Secure for Joey.
Council District 7
Cindy wilson is politically untouchable. Joey has made that woman into a demi-god in her district.
Prognosis: - 1 Secure for Cindy.
Total Wrapup:
Solid Joey Seats: 3
Lean Joey Seats: 1
Even seats: 2
Lean Cindy Seats: 0
Solid Cindy Seats: 1
Joey only needs to win ONE race out of districts 3, 4, and 5 for a council majority. So far 3 and 4 have gone his way, 5 went Cindy's way but Thompson turned into Joey's "waterboy."- Ernest Penfold
Good analysis. I enjoyed the post.
I agree mostly. I haven't figured out who I'm going to vote for in Council District 4.
So far Tom Allen is out. I've heard that the Democrat may have ties to the WAIM crowd. If so, I guess it'll be McAbee again.
So far Tom Allen is out. I've heard that the Democrat may have ties to the WAIM crowd. If so, I guess it'll be McAbee again.
I think your predictions may be too generous to "Cindy's" side.
District 1--Will be close, but Bob is toast. McKay will win easily. Everybody loves Raymond!
District 2--Gracie gets 75%
District 3--Larry beats Moore easily. Moore is a two time loser, and will soon be a 3 time loser.
District 4--McAbee wins a easily. Incumbancy has it's privilages. I won't vote for McAbee, but I still think he wins. What has Tom Allen done? Who is Tom Allen?
District 5--Michael Thompson could not have an easier time. It would only be easier if his main opponent was Mike Holden, again. "Brother" Bailey who is that? Skip Gilmer could not get in the run-off last time. And as you say, "Who is Tommy Dunn?" Name ID and incumbancy has it's advantage. Thompson big win.
District 6--Ron Wilson is virtually untouchable, not as big a win as Gracie, but Freemantle has no chance.
District 7--She wins with 65% +. She is almost as unbeatable as Gracie, but not quite.
It may be a 6 and 1 majority next year.
Nobody in their right mind wants to run for County Council. That's why we are in the mess we are in now.
District 1--Will be close, but Bob is toast. McKay will win easily. Everybody loves Raymond!
District 2--Gracie gets 75%
District 3--Larry beats Moore easily. Moore is a two time loser, and will soon be a 3 time loser.
District 4--McAbee wins a easily. Incumbancy has it's privilages. I won't vote for McAbee, but I still think he wins. What has Tom Allen done? Who is Tom Allen?
District 5--Michael Thompson could not have an easier time. It would only be easier if his main opponent was Mike Holden, again. "Brother" Bailey who is that? Skip Gilmer could not get in the run-off last time. And as you say, "Who is Tommy Dunn?" Name ID and incumbancy has it's advantage. Thompson big win.
District 6--Ron Wilson is virtually untouchable, not as big a win as Gracie, but Freemantle has no chance.
District 7--She wins with 65% +. She is almost as unbeatable as Gracie, but not quite.
It may be a 6 and 1 majority next year.
Nobody in their right mind wants to run for County Council. That's why we are in the mess we are in now.
Anyone running for council or even participating politically has no choice but to suffer character assassination unless they bow to the hate CAVE crowd, CW, Stan Welch and Rick Driver.
Who wants to suffer that? It takes a very strong person to survive what I have been put through. Don't know many that can handle it, eg. secret pen names to hide behind. The second someone finds out who you are the character assassination begins with lies, personal attacks, professional attacks, and so on.
Who wants to suffer that? It takes a very strong person to survive what I have been put through. Don't know many that can handle it, eg. secret pen names to hide behind. The second someone finds out who you are the character assassination begins with lies, personal attacks, professional attacks, and so on.
Tommy Dunn is a well respected volunteer firefighter, I believe. He could mount an effective challenge, especially if he doesn't get into the peeing contest. Correct me if I am wrong, but I think that's who he is.
I can't imagine Michael Thompson getting into a political campaign of personal destruction. I'm sure it will be a good race as long as the CAVE/hate crowd doesn't turn it into a personal destruction campaign. That is their specialty, you know. I don't think they will be able to resist.
Tommy Dunn is a well respected volunteer firefighter, I believe. He could mount an effective challenge, especially if he doesn't get into the peeing contest. Correct me if I am wrong, but I think that's who he is..- Mack the Knife
Tommy is the chief of the Centerville fire department, so he could have a pretty good chance.
Tommy Dunn is a well respected volunteer firefighter, I believe. He could mount an effective challenge, especially if he doesn't get into the peeing contest. Correct me if I am wrong, but I think that's who he is..- Mack the Knife
Tommy is the chief of the Centerville fire department, so he could have a pretty good chance.- bigbradleyp
Michael G. Thompson is too brave and strong to be beaten.
Guys face it. We are going see virtually the same crowd as we have now. We need to deal with it, and be ready for 2 more years of tax increases etc.
Nobody will work hard enough to unseat Michael, Bill or Larry.
2 to 1 Thompson is finished this election.- Daneboy_4
No way! He's way to cool!
Everybody loves Michael.
cough cough, gag gag, I have to agree with willieh.
FYI.
Tommy Dunn is the former Chief of Centerville Fire Department. He currently is the Fire Commissioner for School District 5. He is a home builder and is either president or past president (can't remember) of the Anderson County Homebuilders Association. He also served on the planning commission at one point.
He is very well thought of in the Centerville community.
Tommy Dunn is the former Chief of Centerville Fire Department. He currently is the Fire Commissioner for School District 5. He is a home builder and is either president or past president (can't remember) of the Anderson County Homebuilders Association. He also served on the planning commission at one point.
He is very well thought of in the Centerville community.
FYI.
Tommy Dunn is the former Chief of Centerville Fire Department. He currently is the Fire Commissioner for School District 5. He is a home builder and is either president or past president (can't remember) of the Anderson County Homebuilders Association. He also served on the planning commission at one point.
He is very well thought of in the Centerville community.- CHIEF
Thanks for the info. Is he a potential Cindy ally?
On a side note, I'm skeptical of the power of the firefighters/ems to influence elections. Everybody in the county personally knows a volunteer firefighter, but we don't all know all of the volunteers in our area.
Didn't Miriam Bratcher have strong ties to that community when she ran against Michael in 2004? He didn't have the advantage of incumbency then.
Mike Gambrell did have strong dies to that community, but I'm not entirely certain that had anything to do with his wins. More likely he won the General because of the R beside his name, and he won the primary because Dan Harvell was rightly seen as a snake oil salesman.
Ike Brissey from the Hopewell fire department also ran against Cindy years ago and didn't get her.
(I could go on....)
His contract reads that he has to have a three year notice his contract is being canceled. I suppose this means seven more years of JP unless the county buys out his contract after the 2010 elections OR the information that no one can get shows he has violated a term of his contract - moral turpitude, misappropriations etc. This of course is impossible as he has obtained lawyers at the cost of the county to block the demand for any information that would prove or disprove that theory. He is a genius and created the perfect you can't fire me catch 22.
Whoever asked about Gracie and why she is there - her husband. He died, she took his seat and emotions were high - now you can't get rid of her no matter how confused she is.
Whoever asked about Gracie and why she is there - her husband. He died, she took his seat and emotions were high - now you can't get rid of her no matter how confused she is.
I don't understand how some posters can make such bold pronouncements and predictions about District 5 when they "have no clue who Tommy Dunn is", post "Brother" Bailey who is that?", or "Who is Tommy Dunn?"?
Can you explain the basis for your posts? How can you predict the outcome when you don't know the players?
Can someone tell me how Mr. Bailey earned being called "some scummy car dealer”?
Can you explain the basis for your posts? How can you predict the outcome when you don't know the players?
Can someone tell me how Mr. Bailey earned being called "some scummy car dealer”?
I don't understand how some posters can make such bold pronouncements and predictions about District 5 when they "have no clue who Tommy Dunn is", post "Brother" Bailey who is that?", or "Who is Tommy Dunn?"?
Can you explain the basis for your posts? How can you predict the outcome when you don't know the players?
Can someone tell me how Mr. Bailey earned being called "some scummy car dealer”?
- NomadRon
I can't answer your questions about the cracks at various candidates taken by Danger Mouse's sidekick.. but I will say that being unknown is a liability in politics and his analysis of that seems fairly accurate.
Of course we who read Andrew's posts understand he leans toward the status quo. The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results but that is Anderson in a nut shell.
Of course we who read Andrew's posts understand he leans toward the status quo. The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results but that is Anderson in a nut shell.
- Greene
Greene, thats a crude way to put it.
More accurately, I don't lean toward the status quo. I'd love to replace every single council member. Just not with Cindy Wilson clones.
It pains me to say this as a Democrat, but the only one worth keeping in my view is Ron Wilson. Too bad no viable alternatives have stepped forth.
